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Red31
15189.5
37817.8
407116.4
Blue41
155120.7
4517.7
63915.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304601001502003141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#27
17.80.1
16.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1551
#15
20.70.2
17.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4071
#23
16.40.1
7.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
639
#33
15.20.2
16.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
#46
9.50.1
7.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
451
#43
7.70.2
8.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End