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Red10
315711.5
368715.0
155120.7
Blue21
37996.4
383819.5
15914.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350501001502001021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#15
20.72.3
15.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3838
#14
19.51.2
13.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3687
#21
15.02.3
9.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
3799
#22
6.41.2
11.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3157
#41
11.52.3
12.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1591
#34
4.91.2
10.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End