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Red2
318121.5
1569.0
40938.0
Blue40
22659.6
57810.2
368715.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38310206080100240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#19
21.52.9
15.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3687
#21
15.00.7
13.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
156
#42
9.02.9
11.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
578
#26
10.20.7
8.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4093
#39
8.02.9
10.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2265
#36
9.60.7
10.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End