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Red8
733.9
15859.4
111111.9
Blue98
4832.8
19130.8
315711.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187304060100120140160898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#16
11.91.4
11.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
48
#7
32.82.6
28.330.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1585
#12
9.41.4
10.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
191
#5
30.82.6
27.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
73
#48
3.91.4
5.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
3157
#41
11.52.6
8.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End