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Red60
4832.8
15859.4
420314.1
Blue29
318121.5
37996.4
280919.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153204060801001201406029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#7
32.80.5
30.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
3181
#19
21.51.7
23.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4203
#10
14.10.5
13.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2809
#20
19.51.7
21.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1585
#12
9.40.5
8.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3799
#22
6.41.7
8.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End