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Red113
317332.0
25028.8
37817.8
Blue112
300328.6
140529.4
155918.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8167050100150200113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.8
32.232.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
29.40.9
26.827.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
#3
28.80.8
29.029.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
28.60.9
26.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
378
#27
17.80.8
18.018.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1559
#37
18.90.9
16.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End