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Red8
112615.6
29119.4
39516.7
Blue31
25023.6
17412.3
155926.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55760100150200250300350831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
19.42.5
26.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1559
Unranked
26.82.1
28.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
Unranked
15.62.5
23.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
250
Unranked
23.62.1
30.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
Unranked
6.72.8
8.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
174
Unranked
12.32.1
14.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End