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Red80
145016.8
124155.5
304428.2
Blue105
112615.6
61062.3
37823.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11810505015020080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
55.51.8
62.360.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
610
Unranked
62.30.1
62.262.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3044
Unranked
28.21.8
32.730.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
378
Unranked
23.00.1
23.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
Unranked
16.81.8
21.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1126
Unranked
15.60.1
20.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End