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Red40
400135.8
23406.4
14938.7
Blue109
493010.4
155926.8
301536.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4765010015020025040109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
Unranked
35.80.5
33.933.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3015
Unranked
36.52.3
32.034.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1493
Unranked
8.70.5
9.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
1559
Unranked
26.82.3
25.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2340
Unranked
6.40.5
7.16.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
4930
Unranked
10.43.9
4.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End