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Red56
19135.7
140525.4
145016.8
Blue55
131052.3
39516.7
31574.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88650501001505655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
35.71.4
37.436.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1310
Unranked
52.30.7
57.256.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1405
Unranked
25.41.4
28.927.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
3951
Unranked
6.70.7
5.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
Unranked
16.81.4
18.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3157
Unranked
4.80.7
5.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End