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Red93
29119.4
317335.7
279122.4
Blue71
61062.3
39516.7
23406.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75744060801009371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
Unranked
35.70.9
35.236.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.6
610
Unranked
62.30.1
62.262.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2791
Unranked
22.40.9
21.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
3951
Unranked
6.70.1
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
291
Unranked
19.40.9
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
2340
Unranked
6.40.1
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End