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Qual 42013 Rochester Ruckus
Red45
39516.7
318113.2
317335.7
Blue67
301536.5
400135.8
304428.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701150501502002503003504004567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
Unranked
35.71.6
42.8→41.3
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blue by 0.8
3015
Unranked
36.52.0
36.6→34.6
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Second
3181
Unranked
13.22.1
21.5→19.4
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blue by 22.6
4001
Unranked
35.82.0
37.9→35.9
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Third
3951
Unranked
6.72.1
12.3→10.2
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Teleop—
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blue by 21.6
3044
Unranked
28.22.0
33.4→31.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—