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Red198
133457.3
403957.8
39516.7
Blue84
317335.7
5786.9
2052.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219105015020019884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
Unranked
57.81.4
55.957.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
20
Unranked
52.70.2
52.952.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1334
Unranked
57.31.4
55.556.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
3173
Unranked
35.70.2
35.935.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3951
Unranked
6.71.4
4.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
578
Unranked
6.90.2
7.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End