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Red106
326028.9
150740.5
70638.9
Blue121
63927.1
283432.4
225241.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11295050150200106121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2252
#20
41.80.4
40.641.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
#21
38.90.0
39.239.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2834
#13
32.40.4
31.131.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28.90.0
29.229.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
639
#2
27.10.4
25.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End