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Red27
412119.8
155128.5
41657.4
Blue19
414520.8
219718.7
131715.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46250204060801001202719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.0
20.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
4145
#44
20.80.8
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4121
#15
19.81.3
12.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2197
#16
18.70.5
11.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4165
#43
7.41.3
8.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1317
#40
15.40.8
6.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End