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Qual 242013 Buckeye Regional
Red122
239920.9
260334.1
150740.5
Blue32
201627.5
152815.0
300328.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87650204010012014016012232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#1
40.51.9
31.5→33.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.7
3003
#22
28.71.8
30.3→28.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2603
#4
34.11.9
35.9→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
2016
#14
27.51.8
20.3→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2399
#28
20.91.9
16.4→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
1528
#27
15.01.8
18.0→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—