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Red24
414211.4
46757.3
239920.9
Blue14
41657.4
12746.8
428314.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060802414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#28
20.90.8
18.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4283
#45
14.51.0
17.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4142
#29
11.41.3
15.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4165
#43
7.41.7
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4675
#51
7.31.3
6.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1274
#47
6.81.7
8.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End