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Red53
428314.5
349629.5
461118.6
Blue70
225241.8
217216.4
326028.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4365020801001201405370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3496
#18
29.50.4
20.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
2252
#20
41.80.4
28.629.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4611
#36
18.68.5
18.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
28.90.4
20.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4283
#45
14.50.4
16.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
2172
#39
16.40.7
12.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End