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Red100
159021.2
411915.6
34034.2
Blue71
20108.4
408541.8
43859.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535340506070809010010071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#10
34.22.3
28.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
4085
#19
41.80.9
33.434.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1590
#37
21.23.9
15.919.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4385
#42
9.41.5
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4119
#31
15.63.9
8.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2010
#53
8.41.5
11.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End