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Red120
408541.8
131715.4
283432.4
Blue86
20108.4
70638.9
225241.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659020408010012014016012086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#19
41.82.6
36.138.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2252
#20
41.80.0
37.437.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#13
32.42.6
24.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
706
#21
38.90.0
38.538.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1317
#40
15.43.7
8.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2010
#53
8.40.0
9.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End