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Red43
43859.4
414520.8
6959.5
Blue101
217216.4
124827.7
101423.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35620208010012043101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#44
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1248
#25
27.72.9
22.625.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
#50
9.50.3
9.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
1014
#12
23.82.2
21.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4385
#42
9.40.3
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2172
#39
16.42.9
13.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End