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Red116
70638.9
326028.9
150740.5
Blue101
222827.2
131715.4
124827.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116570100150200116101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.2
39.940.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1248
#25
27.70.7
26.226.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
706
#21
38.90.2
38.638.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
27.20.6
26.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
28.90.2
28.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1317
#40
15.40.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End