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Red40
270912.6
42754.6
55421.3
Blue46
332428.8
349620.7
130818.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333602060804046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#20
21.30.6
13.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
28.80.9
14.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2709
#44
12.60.6
13.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
3496
#32
20.70.9
11.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4275
#51
4.60.6
6.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1308
#33
18.70.9
9.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End