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Red31
198532.4
176017.7
26659.3
Blue65
452127.7
411514.7
313828.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45460204060803165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#10
32.40.8
24.423.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
28.01.6
23.925.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1760
#22
17.71.2
11.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
27.716.6
27.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#25
9.31.2
10.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4115
#42
14.71.6
11.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End