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Red28
475315.8
349620.7
381417.3
Blue38
30009.2
427912.5
176017.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31330501001502002838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3496
#32
20.70.3
12.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1760
#22
17.70.4
12.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3814
#46
17.30.3
12.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4279
#24
12.50.4
11.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4753
#48
15.80.3
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3000
#45
9.20.4
8.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End