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Red58
450410.5
428316.3
319325.6
Blue35
16438.2
407013.4
198532.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424702060801005835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#12
25.60.8
22.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
1985
#10
32.40.6
26.425.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4283
#26
16.31.3
12.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4070
#28
13.40.6
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4504
#38
10.51.3
8.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1643
#36
8.20.9
7.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End