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Red42
330125.1
400815.5
26659.3
Blue40
426917.9
270912.6
381417.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801001204240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3301
#15
25.10.6
26.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4269
#30
17.90.5
17.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4008
#14
15.51.0
15.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3814
#46
17.30.5
15.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#25
9.31.0
11.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2709
#44
12.60.5
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End