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Red40
152817.0
30009.2
55421.3
Blue105
176017.7
27616.0
44731.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4254020608010012040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#20
21.30.3
16.416.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
447
#21
31.84.1
24.728.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
#13
17.00.2
19.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1760
#22
17.74.1
16.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3000
#45
9.20.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
276
#31
16.04.4
11.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End