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Red47
284831.7
318.7
359327.2
Blue12
276517.9
31797.2
242412.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434402060801004712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.2
25.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
2765
#24
17.92.6
13.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.20.3
12.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
2424
#55
12.82.6
18.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31
#41
8.70.3
6.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3179
#47
7.22.6
11.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End