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Red70
93539.3
246125.1
400512.7
Blue47
379811.8
238913.0
237315.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553002040801001207047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#17
39.31.1
29.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
2373
#38
15.31.1
11.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.11.5
11.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
2389
#51
13.01.1
10.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4005
#44
12.71.5
11.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3798
#46
11.81.1
11.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End