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Red96
174230.4
316026.5
345716.4
Blue70
234127.3
237315.3
276517.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534002060801009670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1742
#11
30.43.8
19.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2341
#22
27.32.4
18.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3160
#12
26.53.8
17.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2765
#24
17.92.4
10.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3457
#28
16.43.8
13.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2373
#38
15.32.4
13.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End