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Red117
154033.7
349818.1
359327.2
Blue16
316910.1
379811.8
318.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58200408010012014011716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#20
33.73.3
24.627.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
3798
#46
11.80.9
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.25.4
17.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
3169
#58
10.10.9
9.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3498
#32
18.15.4
9.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
31
#41
8.70.9
5.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End