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Red59
177537.7
243517.4
32479.4
Blue70
316026.5
246125.1
242412.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201405970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#13
37.70.2
39.839.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
3160
#12
26.51.4
21.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2435
#29
17.40.4
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
25.11.4
20.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3247
#45
9.40.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2424
#55
12.81.4
11.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End