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Red8
346517.2
37649.5
31797.2
Blue74
174230.4
234127.3
239817.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27390206080100874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3465
#33
17.21.7
10.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1742
#11
30.43.1
13.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3764
#52
9.51.7
9.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
2341
#22
27.33.1
13.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3179
#47
7.21.7
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
2398
#31
17.73.1
9.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End