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Red52
234127.3
200417.2
393131.9
Blue61
93539.3
32479.4
9387.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7943020601001201401605261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#42
31.91.0
32.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
935
#17
39.30.6
35.336.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2341
#22
27.31.6
21.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
3247
#45
9.41.0
8.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2004
#21
17.21.0
18.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
938
#36
7.30.6
4.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End