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Red114
93539.3
349818.1
284831.7
Blue72
235929.6
366015.2
174230.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847105010015011472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#17
39.31.6
36.037.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1742
#11
30.40.1
29.629.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.71.6
30.231.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2359
#10
29.60.1
29.229.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3498
#32
18.12.3
15.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3660
#15
15.20.1
14.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End