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Red136
216534.8
154033.7
234127.3
Blue120
93539.3
316026.5
359327.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89896080100120140136120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.0
32.533.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
935
#17
39.30.5
38.138.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1540
#20
33.70.8
31.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
27.20.7
25.526.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2341
#22
27.31.0
25.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3160
#12
26.50.7
24.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End