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Red103
234127.3
154033.7
216534.8
Blue93
316026.5
93539.3
359327.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9393608010012014010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.2
33.934.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
935
#17
39.30.0
39.339.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1540
#20
33.70.2
33.033.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2341
#22
27.30.2
26.426.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3160
#12
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End