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Red123
154730.4
311741.3
403951.6
Blue129
299426.8
130523.2
150347.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319350150200123129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.0
52.252.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1503
#23
47.30.5
47.848.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3117
#12
41.30.0
41.841.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
2994
#25
26.80.5
27.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1547
#14
30.40.0
30.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
23.20.5
23.724.2
Auto
Teleop
End