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Red63
77237.9
299426.8
468810.1
Blue120
475416.7
406933.0
131052.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648405010015063120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#19Sur
37.90.2
34.033.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
52.81.9
47.849.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2994
#25
26.80.2
22.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4069
#11
33.01.9
23.125.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4688
#37
10.10.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
4754
#41Sur
16.73.2
10.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End