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Red56
451812.9
370517.6
434340.9
Blue121
368348.0
133446.4
19021.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5385010015056121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#20
40.90.1
41.941.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3683
#10
48.02.1
37.339.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3705
#43
17.60.1
11.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
46.42.1
29.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4518
#28
12.90.1
4.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
190
#26
21.72.1
13.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End