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Red46
181520.4
357127.8
478316.4
Blue97
471614.3
77237.9
368348.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458801001504697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3571
#15
27.80.3
23.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
3683
#10
48.00.8
39.840.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1815
#36
20.40.5
15.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
772
#19
37.90.8
32.733.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4783
#21
16.40.5
13.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4716
#35
14.31.3
8.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End