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Red28
130523.2
316125.8
475416.7
Blue17
150347.3
481710.6
451812.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516002040801001201402817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#13
25.81.2
23.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
1503
#23
47.32.1
39.437.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
23.21.2
19.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
4518
#28
12.96.9
12.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4754
#41
16.79.3
16.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
4817
#39
10.64.6
10.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End