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Red149
316125.8
482519.5
111496.3
Blue56
132519.2
311741.3
470419.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13050010015020014956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.31.6
90.191.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 55.0
3117
#12
41.30.3
34.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3161
#13
25.81.6
18.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
4704
#16
19.20.6
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4825
#22
19.52.6
8.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1325
#24
19.20.3
15.615.3
Auto
Teleop
End