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Red77
482519.5
311741.3
356014.8
Blue75
19021.7
263414.0
299426.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801001207775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#12
41.30.9
34.135.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
2994
#25
26.81.2
23.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4825
#22
19.51.5
11.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
190
#26
21.71.2
17.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3560
#31
14.81.5
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2634
#38
14.02.0
9.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End