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Red38
19021.7
473210.0
154730.4
Blue76
107514.5
299426.8
475416.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572040801003876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1547
#14
30.40.9
27.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2994
#25
26.80.9
24.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
#26
21.70.9
18.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4754
#41
16.71.3
15.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4732
#33
10.01.4
10.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1075
#30
14.50.9
17.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End