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Red106
316125.8
357127.8
434340.9
Blue55
482519.5
475416.7
370517.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10245015010655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#20
40.90.7
40.441.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
4825
#22
19.50.1
19.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3571
#15
27.80.7
27.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
3705
#43
17.60.1
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3161
#13
25.80.7
25.325.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
4754
#41
16.70.1
16.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End