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Red153
150347.3
368348.0
299426.8
Blue192
111496.3
21857.5
90727.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612250100150200153192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#10
48.01.8
46.147.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.4
96.33.6
93.096.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1503
#23
47.31.8
45.647.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
907
#17
27.23.6
23.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2994
#25
26.81.8
25.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
2185
#29
7.53.6
3.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End