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Red143
154730.4
132519.2
133446.4
Blue114
311741.3
181520.4
263414.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86652040100120140160143114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.43.0
39.842.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3117
#12
41.32.3
39.341.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1547
#14
30.43.0
27.630.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1815
#36
20.42.8
17.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#24
19.23.0
14.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2634
#38
14.02.8
11.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End