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Red171
111465.2
132512.8
205674.3
Blue118
124138.1
434342.0
21619.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1638750100150200250171118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.30.3
73.974.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.3
42.00.3
41.742.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65.20.4
64.965.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
38.10.4
37.838.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1325
#16
12.80.3
12.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
216
#18
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End